First Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2026-02-20 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1052 | 70% | 2026-01-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 1180 | 47% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 1037 | 1049 | 48% | 2025-10-19 | Won |
| 972 | 947 | 54% | 2024-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.6 vs 1060.4 has a 51.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).