West of the Merderet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (3 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 983 | 34% | 2026-06-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 971 | 60% | 2026-05-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 971 | 81% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 975 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).