West of the Merderet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 2
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2026-09-03 | A | Won |
| 859 | 1010 | 30% | 2026-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 977 | 66% | 2026-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 971 | 79% | 2026-02-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.8 vs 977.3 has a 61.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).