Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2026-05-31 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2026-05-13 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2026-05-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 855 | 68% | 2026-04-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 868 | 66% | 2026-04-10 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2026-04-06 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 971 | 1040 | 40% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 987 | 69% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1218 | 19% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 909 | 86% | 2026-01-07 | Won |
| 932 | 946 | 48% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 996 | 983 | 52% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1098 | 41% | 2025-08-26 | Won |
| 987 | 1028 | 44% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1010.5 vs 992.4 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).