Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1093 | 52% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1204 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 901 | 75% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1204 | 29% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 828 | 979 | 30% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 958 | 1041 | 38% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 958 | 52% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 894 | 956 | 41% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 898 | 65% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.9 vs 1007.3 has a 48.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).