Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2026-07-07 | Won |
| 1021 | 1006 | 52% | 2026-06-20 | Won |
| 973 | 990 | 48% | 2025-12-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 914 | 74% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 820 | 978 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1063 | 51% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 983 | 45% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1008.9 vs 991.6 has a 52.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).