Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (15 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2026-07-07 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1009 | 51% | 2026-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2025-12-20 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-11-26 | | Won |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2025-09-10 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 820 | 979 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2025-08-10 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 914 | 62% | 2025-07-15 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-06-21 | | Won |
| 873 | 997 | 33% | 2025-06-19 | | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-04-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1000.2 vs 997.9 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).