For the Motherland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1138 | 37% | 2026-07-10 | Tied |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-05-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2025-10-08 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-08-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1223 | 36% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 975 | 59% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2025-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1030.5 has a 54.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).