Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (22 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Danish): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 970 | 59% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1007 | 979 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1253 | 1180 | 60% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2025-09-12 | Lost |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 1118 | 55% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1092 | 37% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 1001 | 860 | 69% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1151 | 29% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1151 | 29% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1253 | 1024 | 79% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1180 | 878 | 85% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1194 | 57% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 966 | 1088 | 33% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 827 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1022.8 has a 59.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).