Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (32 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Danish): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Danish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1061 | 29% | 2026-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1138 | 59% | 2026-08-08 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1186 | 28% | 2026-08-08 | | Won |
| 982 | 924 | 58% | 2026-08-07 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2026-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2026-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-07-02 | | Won |
| 992 | 1085 | 37% | 2026-05-19 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2026-03-27 | D | Won |
| 1034 | 970 | 59% | 2025-12-11 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-09 | | Won |
| 1008 | 993 | 52% | 2025-11-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2025-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2025-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2025-07-30 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-07-11 | | Won |
| 989 | 1092 | 36% | 2025-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2025-03-31 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1187 | 24% | 2025-03-29 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1187 | 24% | 2025-03-29 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2025-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2025-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1186 | 52% | 2025-03-11 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2025-03-07 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1089 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | | Won |
| 1150 | 820 | 87% | 2025-02-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2025-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2025-01-02 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1047.3 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).