Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (21 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Danish): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 972 | 58% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 987 | 55% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1268 | 1150 | 66% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1142 | 32% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 1023 | 876 | 70% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1138 | 32% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1138 | 32% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 995 | 56% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1268 | 1023 | 80% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1150 | 1285 | 31% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1196 | 47% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 981 | 58% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 980 | 1087 | 35% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 828 | 83% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1039.2 has a 56.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).