The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (20 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (British): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2026-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1065 | 984 | 61% | 2026-03-14 | | Won |
| 904 | 901 | 50% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1154 | 1000 | 71% | 2026-03-13 | | Won |
| 1164 | 872 | 84% | 2025-10-25 | | Won |
| 1177 | 1000 | 73% | 2025-06-28 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1149 | 27% | 2025-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-01-30 | | Won |
| 1315 | 994 | 86% | 2025-01-03 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 873 | 68% | 2024-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2024-11-01 | D | Lost |
| 1150 | 957 | 75% | 2024-10-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-10-20 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1065 | 58% | 2024-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-09-14 | | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1071 vs 990.9 has a 61.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).