Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (2 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (Polish): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1017 | 44% | 2026-02-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 980 | 58% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 998.5 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).