Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 953 | 50% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 847 | 906 | 42% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 847 | 917 | 40% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 1170 | 25% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1007 | 70% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1128 | 847 | 83% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1128 | 1191 | 41% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1266 | 1016 | 81% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1290 | 1141 | 70% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1030 | 42% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1010.5 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).