Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 986 | 54% | 2025-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2025-07-17 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1219 | 39% | 2025-04-02 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-01 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 904 | 72% | 2024-11-10 | | Lost |
| 991 | 940 | 57% | 2024-09-02 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-08-21 | | Won |
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2024-06-18 | | Lost |
| 959 | 974 | 48% | 2024-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1065 | 59% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 780 | 949 | 27% | 2024-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-03-17 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1014.9 vs 1027.5 has a 48.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).