Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (16 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1009 | 45% | 2025-12-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2025-07-17 | Won |
| 1006 | 940 | 59% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1234 | 31% | 2025-04-02 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 940 | 917 | 53% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1172 | 44% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 967 | 940 | 54% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 967 | 1188 | 22% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1220 | 999 | 78% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 999 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1242 | 1208 | 55% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1031 | 64% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1041.1 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).