Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (16 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 977 | 65% | 2025-12-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1140 | 50% | 2025-07-17 | Won |
| 984 | 940 | 56% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1219 | 36% | 2025-04-02 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 940 | 917 | 53% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1175 | 30% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1045 | 965 | 61% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1048 | 940 | 65% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 1188 | 31% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1182 | 1004 | 74% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 1004 | 44% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1264 | 1165 | 64% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 779 | 996 | 22% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1034.6 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).