St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1196 | 33% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 1194 | 20% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 878 | 1018 | 31% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1179 | 48% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 986 | 1095 | 35% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 993 | 986 | 51% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 986.1 vs 1064.9 has a 38.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).