Last Assault on the Steelworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2025-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-04-23 | | Won |
| 972 | 1077 | 35% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 960 | 961 | 50% | 2025-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2024-10-09 | | Won |
| 970 | 1150 | 26% | 2024-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1115 | 40% | 2024-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1068.3 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).