Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (16 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 19
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1274 | 744 | 95% | 2025-05-24 | Won |
| 966 | 1009 | 44% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1017 | 1200 | 26% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1045 | 62% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 999 | 70% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1051 | 58% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 779 | 1028 | 19% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 909 | 1065 | 29% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 907 | 46% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 950 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1111 | 1242 | 32% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1265 | 41% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1036.4 has a 50.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).