Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (13 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 36
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 923 | 52% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1155 | 37% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 967 | 73% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1051 | 50% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 794 | 1026 | 21% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 939 | 1066 | 32% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 852 | 908 | 42% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1310 | 24% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1155 | 966 | 75% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1016 | 63% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1111 | 1045 | 59% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1020.2 vs 1037.1 has a 47.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).