Breakthrough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2025-08-22 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2024-08-09 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1064 | 34% | 2024-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1169 | 30% | 2024-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2024-03-01 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-02-24 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-01-07 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1068.3 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).