Breakthrough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 990 | 47% | 2025-08-22 | Won |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2024-08-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1143 | 30% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 946 | 74% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 1170 | 37% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1076 | 1228 | 29% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1124.3 has a 38.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).