Hot Tigers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2026-09-24 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2024-07-27 | | Won |
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2024-07-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2024-05-29 | | Won |
| 692 | 979 | 16% | 2024-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1127 | 53% | 2024-05-24 | | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1028 | 43% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1054 has a 45.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).