Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 913 | 913 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1121 | 35% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 1020 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1054 | 67% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1137 | 52% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
| 1204 | 1033 | 73% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1016 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).