Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 984 | 71% | 2026-05-31 | | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-06-30 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1116 | 60% | 2025-04-12 | | Won |
| 1083 | 1211 | 32% | 2025-01-18 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-01-11 | A | Lost |
| 949 | 1141 | 25% | 2024-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2024-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 992 | 81% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1087 | 64% | 2024-01-28 | D | Won |
| 1161 | 948 | 77% | 2024-01-28 | D | Won |
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2023-12-18 | | Lost |
| 873 | 1000 | 32% | 2023-12-03 | | Won |
| 728 | 1298 | 4% | 2023-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1172 | 47% | 2023-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2023-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1022.5 vs 1069.9 has a 43.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).