Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (24 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 36
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1023 | 52% | 2026-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1113 | 46% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1205 | 42% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1007 | 55% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1215 | 983 | 79% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1098 | 40% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 1027 | 46% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1113 | 46% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 868 | 58% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 1087 | 34% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1077 | 60% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 902 | 1083 | 26% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1215 | 1050 | 72% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1162 | 1129 | 55% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 980 | 1223 | 20% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1120 | 27% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1098 | 66% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1149 | 43% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1063.3 has a 49.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).