The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (8 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1017 | 68% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1241 | 29% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1266 | 1264 | 50% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1001 | 73% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1116 | 1121 | 49% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1112.9 vs 1064.5 has a 56.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).