The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2026-04-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1062 | 43% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1021 | 64% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 949 | 74% | 2026-02-10 | Won |
| 993 | 1263 | 17% | 2026-02-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1306 | 50% | 2026-01-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 967 | 66% | 2025-12-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2025-09-26 | Won |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1176 | 960 | 78% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 960 | 1048 | 38% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1220 | 1220 | 50% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1060.9 has a 53.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).