Road To Merdjayoun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy): 4
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1234 | 1000 | 79% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2025-04-02 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1080.7 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).