Bear Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (Native American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-01-28 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-10-22 | | Won |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2024-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 755 | 87% | 2024-01-25 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1107 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1020.8 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).