Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (12 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 954 | 1050 | 37% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 953 | 52% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1155 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 982 | 1028 | 43% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1107 | 60% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1003.1 vs 1049.1 has a 43.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).