Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 954 | 62% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 1123 | 31% | 2025-11-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 984 | 48% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 980 | 1022 | 44% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 971 | 1040 | 40% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 909 | 58% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1151 | 1051 | 64% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1098 | 66% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1038.4 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).