Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
942 | 812 | 68% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
1008 | 984 | 53% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
1055 | 1025 | 54% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
970 | 877 | 63% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
1213 | 1055 | 71% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
939 | 1004 | 41% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
1065 | 1003 | 59% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 996.6 has a 57.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).