Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (14 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 885 | 65% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 831 | 65% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 940 | 74% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 977 | 58% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 929 | 1004 | 39% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 986 has a 60.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).