Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 908 | 77% | 2026-01-16 | | Won |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2025-11-02 | | Won |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2025-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 847 | 71% | 2025-06-20 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1029 | 51% | 2025-01-19 | | Won |
| 942 | 692 | 81% | 2024-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 967 | 63% | 2024-02-27 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-02-11 | | Won |
| 1106 | 1000 | 65% | 2023-12-20 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2023-11-04 | D | Won |
| 1056 | 818 | 80% | 2023-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-06-17 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-05-16 | A | Won |
| 1182 | 989 | 75% | 2023-04-13 | | Won |
| 941 | 1003 | 41% | 2023-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2023-01-16 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 974.7 has a 58.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).