Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (24 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1047 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1019 | 1139 | 33% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1198 | 1055 | 69% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 923 | 1035 | 34% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 1026 | 51% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1198 | 35% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 970 | 57% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1072 | 45% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1174 | 42% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 896 | 878 | 53% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1126 | 57% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1088 | 63% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1253 | 21% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1138 | 56% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 941 | 897 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1136 | 38% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 996 | 994 | 50% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1008 | 1055 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1060.9 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).