Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (24 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 48
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-10-10 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-04-13 | | Tied |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1048 | 62% | 2023-07-30 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2023-07-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2023-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1051 | 51% | 2023-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1230 | 38% | 2023-04-14 | | Lost |
| 861 | 1000 | 31% | 2023-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1065 | 60% | 2023-03-17 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1219 | 24% | 2023-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-03-17 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1018 | 72% | 2023-03-12 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-03-03 | A | Lost |
| 1076 | 1132 | 42% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 992 | 995 | 50% | 2023-01-28 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1056 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1051.8 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).