Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 962 | 47% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 990 | 1018 | 46% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 1022 | 71% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 1037 | 47% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 939 | 986 | 43% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 950 | 968 | 47% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1086 | 1281 | 25% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 992 | 1071 | 39% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 875 | 887 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1050.5 has a 45.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).