Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (13 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Romanian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 884 | 884 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1129 | 34% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1218 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 970 | 1031 | 41% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1141 | 60% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1047.4 has a 50.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).