Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Slovakian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1239 | 16% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1103 | 46% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1201 | 34% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1239 | 1075 | 72% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1045 | 980 | 59% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 997 | 1342 | 12% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1283 | 18% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1013 | 52% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1084 | 47% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1087 | 66% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 879 | 1055 | 27% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1098 | 34% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 991 | 46% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 945 | 756 | 75% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1018 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1082.6 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).