Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1220 | 29% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1023 | 1104 | 39% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1178 | 37% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 943 | 83% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1019 | 980 | 56% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1347 | 14% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1264 | 20% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 960 | 1028 | 40% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1095 | 43% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1087 | 63% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 884 | 1056 | 27% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 753 | 92% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 753 | 76% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 945 | 756 | 75% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1047.2 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).