Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (16 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1284 | 21% | 2024-04-27 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2023-10-06 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1126 | 71% | 2023-09-30 | | Won |
| 1080 | 974 | 65% | 2023-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1348 | 14% | 2023-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1242 | 22% | 2023-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1029 | 48% | 2023-03-19 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1149 | 29% | 2023-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2023-03-05 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2023-02-11 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 692 | 85% | 2023-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1072.6 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).