Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1220 | 21% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 994 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1076 | 51% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 1045 | 73% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1347 | 14% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 1028 | 44% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1152 | 31% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 956 | 1056 | 36% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1146 | 28% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 1114 | 28% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 706 | 80% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1017 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1084.1 has a 44.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).