Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (16 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1261 | 19% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1098 | 46% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1185 | 36% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1261 | 1022 | 80% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1014 | 49% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1342 | 17% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1012 | 52% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1098 | 40% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1086 | 64% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 953 | 1054 | 36% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1206 | 856 | 88% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1078 | 37% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 856 | 65% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 756 | 75% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1048 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1053.4 has a 51.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).