Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (16 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Slovakian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1255 | 14% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1129 | 45% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1255 | 1015 | 80% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1069 | 1009 | 59% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1269 | 15% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 938 | 1048 | 35% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1110 | 39% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1035 | 63% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1093 | 28% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 987 | 982 | 51% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 1014 | 43% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 954 | 812 | 69% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1056.3 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).