Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (16 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1217 | 18% | 2024-04-27 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2023-10-06 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1156 | 59% | 2023-09-30 | | Won |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2023-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1348 | 14% | 2023-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2023-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2023-03-19 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1152 | 29% | 2023-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2023-03-05 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2023-02-11 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 699 | 85% | 2023-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1071.2 has a 44.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).