Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (6 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 10
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1155 | 34% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 831 | 1047 | 22% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1047 | 993 | 58% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1023.2 has a 53.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).