Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 12
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 909 | 59% | 2026-03-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1263 | 28% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 707 | 1031 | 13% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1142 | 48% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 903 | 68% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1230 | 1136 | 63% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.7 vs 1062 has a 45.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).