Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (6 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 11
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1263 | 19% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 756 | 1035 | 17% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1050 | 44% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1035 | 878 | 71% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1058 has a 47.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).