Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (22 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1153 | 34% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 982 | 927 | 58% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 978 | 49% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1400 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1045 | 1310 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1310 | 23% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 970 | 1098 | 32% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1138 | 1069 | 60% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1131 | 1276 | 30% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1050 | 53% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 936 | 67% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1038 | 44% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1097 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1108.6 has a 41.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).