Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1095 | 63% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1141 | 45% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 903 | 80% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 986 | 56% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1022 | 49% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1419 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 993 | 1274 | 17% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1274 | 20% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1100 | 38% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1037 | 66% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1150 | 28% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1048 | 43% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1019 | 56% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1071 | 40% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1112 | 38% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1178 | 35% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1102.7 has a 42.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).