Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (24 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1076 | 69% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1151 | 42% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 878 | 83% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 979 | 57% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1008 | 976 | 55% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1423 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 993 | 1253 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1253 | 22% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1100 | 37% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 1012 | 69% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1180 | 25% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1048 | 41% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1063 | 49% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1068 | 43% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1127 | 38% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1096.8 has a 44.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).