Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (24 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1167 | 57% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1151 | 37% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1152 | 965 | 75% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1112 | 39% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1435 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1113 | 1219 | 35% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1133 | 52% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1100 | 41% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1162 | 1094 | 60% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 988 | 1227 | 20% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 976 | 1048 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1051 | 51% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1047 | 46% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1117.7 has a 41.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).