Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-08 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1136 | 27% | 2025-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1175 | 56% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1347 | 1031 | 86% | 2024-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2024-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 851 | 70% | 2024-01-17 | | Won |
| 1097 | 992 | 65% | 2024-01-01 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1055 | 39% | 2023-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-07-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1063 | 47% | 2023-05-22 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1023 | 38% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-03-23 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-02-24 | | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-02-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1061.5 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).