Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (20 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1175 | 50% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1068 | 83% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 905 | 1178 | 17% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1053 | 51% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1042 | 69% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 850 | 76% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1138 | 940 | 76% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 986 | 56% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1024 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 894 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 941 | 1085 | 30% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1052.9 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).