Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (20 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1096 | 30% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1175 | 60% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1068 | 83% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1243 | 29% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1134 | 48% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1065 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1219 | 53% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1051 | 850 | 76% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 980 | 57% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1021 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 894 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 941 | 1041 | 36% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1088.9 vs 1060.7 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).