One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (19 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1058 | 35% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 748 | 1266 | 5% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 876 | 1018 | 31% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1033 | 953 | 61% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1078 | 48% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1063 | 59% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 904 | 1046 | 31% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 892 | 1085 | 25% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1017 | 45% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1158 | 1141 | 52% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1011.3 vs 1045.5 has a 45.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).