One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (17 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 769 | 1255 | 6% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 1095 | 34% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1001 | 931 | 60% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1159 | 31% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 970 | 55% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 837 | 1040 | 24% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 718 | 1074 | 11% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1141 | 33% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1015 | 45% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 1066 | 55% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1025 | 60% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1211 | 1141 | 60% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 999.4 vs 1067.4 has a 40.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).