One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (23 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1029 | 53% | 2026-05-22 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2025-11-30 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2025-07-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2025-06-22 | | Won |
| 962 | 1133 | 27% | 2024-11-22 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1289 | 4% | 2024-10-14 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1017 | 44% | 2024-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 984 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1211 | 31% | 2024-01-18 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1078 | 38% | 2023-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2023-12-05 | | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2023-10-05 | | Lost |
| 780 | 949 | 27% | 2023-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2023-09-12 | A | Lost |
| 1015 | 1230 | 22% | 2023-08-07 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1129 | 30% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2023-04-11 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1095 | 46% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-01-21 | | Won |
| 1069 | 1230 | 28% | 2023-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 998.7 vs 1071.5 has a 39.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).