Stand at Sterlin's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-09-04 | | Tied |
| 1008 | 1012 | 49% | 2025-06-14 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1021 | 48% | 2023-08-19 | | Lost |
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2023-05-18 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2022-12-16 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1023.2 vs 1032.4 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).