Recon on the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Australian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1051 | 50% | 2026-07-27 | Won |
| 1056 | 1129 | 40% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1011 | 49% | 2023-06-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1119 | 59% | 2023-05-13 | Won |
| 1182 | 736 | 93% | 2023-03-13 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1028 | 57% | 2022-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1012.3 has a 61.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).