The Citadel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 200 (2 on the archive and 198 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 117
Defender wins (Russian): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-16 | Won |
| 960 | 1013 | 42% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1024 vs 1050.5 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).