The Citadel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 205 (3 on the archive and 202 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 121
Defender wins (Russian): 84
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-10-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2007-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2002-11-06 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1044 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).