Race to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 1307 | 13% | 2023-02-21 | Lost |
| 794 | 1026 | 21% | 2023-02-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1098 | 58% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1155 | 35% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1145 | 51% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1016 | 63% | 2022-07-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1107.9 has a 40.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).