The Trial
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 989 | 48% | 2025-01-22 | Won |
| 1230 | 991 | 80% | 2024-12-03 | Won |
| 995 | 968 | 54% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1053 | 71% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1007.7 has a 59.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).