Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1120 | 28% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1057 | 55% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1120 | 60% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 759 | 1206 | 7% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1275 | 55% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1023 | 1033 | 49% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 939 | 64% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 933 | 1190 | 19% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 958 | 63% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 993 | 60% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1093 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1028 | 53% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1068 | 935 | 68% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1303 | 23% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1310 | 34% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 939 | 790 | 70% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1303 | 937 | 89% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 908 | 909 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1072 | 42% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1008 | 1233 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1070.4 has a 48.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).