Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-05-01 | | Lost |
| 747 | 1213 | 6% | 2023-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1265 | 1000 | 82% | 2023-04-10 | | Won |
| 999 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1026 | 54% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1131 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2023-03-04 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1129 | 32% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1068 | 54% | 2023-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1101 | 54% | 2023-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1046 | 51% | 2023-01-30 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1009 | 44% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1186 | 1224 | 45% | 2022-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 1265 | 41% | 2022-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1062 | 63% | 2022-09-16 | | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2022-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 881 | 66% | 2022-06-03 | | Won |
| 885 | 1000 | 34% | 2022-05-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2022-05-13 | | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1051.1 has a 48.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).