Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1137 | 27% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1064 | 61% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1122 | 51% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 746 | 1210 | 6% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1051 | 47% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1278 | 44% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1033 | 43% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1098 | 66% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1042 | 992 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1131 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 998 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 1128 | 24% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1089 | 51% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1101 | 54% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1046 | 49% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 995 | 46% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1238 | 43% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1077 | 60% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 998 | 780 | 78% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 881 | 888 | 49% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 885 | 910 | 46% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1074.9 has a 45.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).