Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1132 | 31% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1059 | 63% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1123 | 48% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 741 | 1256 | 5% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 789 | 1028 | 20% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1279 | 40% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1047 | 1033 | 52% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1107 | 60% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 916 | 74% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1109 | 29% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1035 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1112 | 44% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1028 | 60% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1028 | 60% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1210 | 40% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 762 | 83% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 918 | 72% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 927 | 910 | 52% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1070.6 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).