The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-05-04 | | Won |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2022-12-31 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1122 | 32% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2022-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1053 | 44% | 2022-04-30 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-04-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 993.7 vs 1064.5 has a 39.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).