Our Place In the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Eritrean): 4
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1052 | 42% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.4 vs 1025.8 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).