Our Place In the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Eritrean): 4
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
| 974 | 1090 | 34% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 748 | 943 | 25% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 955.8 vs 1039 has a 38.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).