Back to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (10 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German / German (SS)): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 1263 | 1313 | 43% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1234 | 20% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 876 | 78% | 2022-12-02 | Won |
| 993 | 979 | 52% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2022-09-30 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2022-09-26 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1083.4 vs 1050.7 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).