Back to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German / German (SS)): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1120 | 42% | 2026-10-18 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-10-27 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1310 | 40% | 2023-09-09 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2023-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1110 | 891 | 78% | 2022-12-02 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 989 | 75% | 2022-10-27 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2022-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1051.2 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).