The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 7
Defender wins (Republicans): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-01-22 | A | Lost |
| 1098 | 905 | 75% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1085 | 52% | 2022-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1037 | 78% | 2022-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 1149 | 65% | 2022-01-09 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1148.2 vs 1035.2 has a 65.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).