Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1143 | 44% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 930 | 1004 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1029 | 61% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1178 | 985 | 75% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1281 | 1079 | 76% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1188 | 25% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1034 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).