Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (British): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2025-12-30 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-11-19 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1029 | 45% | 2024-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2023-07-28 | | Won |
| 930 | 1004 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1008 | 65% | 2022-12-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 994 | 59% | 2022-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1273 | 1080 | 75% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1196 | 22% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1053.8 has a 45.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).