First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (6 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2024-09-20 | Lost |
| 1089 | 996 | 63% | 2024-03-30 | Tied |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2024-01-24 | Won |
| 969 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 908 | 936 | 46% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1003.3 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).