Villy Muss Fallen! West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-10-06 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1134 | 52% | 2024-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2023-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2022-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-10-02 | | Lost |
| 750 | 1076 | 13% | 2022-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-11-14 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1093.3 has a 44.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).