Roucaud’s Blow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (5 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1289 | 29% | 2026-04-04 | | Lost |
| 873 | 997 | 33% | 2025-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1088 | 40% | 2024-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1150 | 48% | 2022-11-09 | | Lost |
| 750 | 1059 | 14% | 2021-11-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 980.4 vs 1116.6 has a 31.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).