Roucaud’s Blow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 869 | 982 | 34% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1177 | 41% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 784 | 1037 | 19% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 962.3 vs 1063.5 has a 35.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).