Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-11-03 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1134 | 52% | 2022-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 750 | 86% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 921 | 912 | 51% | 2021-11-12 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-10-21 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 976.7 has a 59.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).