Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1213 | 46% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1177 | 1114 | 59% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1037 | 784 | 81% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 903 | 916 | 48% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1018.9 has a 56.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).