The Down Payment
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (2 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1099 | 31% | 2023-10-31 | Won |
| 1173 | 1099 | 60% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1099 has a 45.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).