Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (16 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Chinese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 878 | 910 | 45% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1283 | 53% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1085 | 49% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 972 | 1026 | 42% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1094 | 50% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1027 | 66% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 1026 | 975 | 57% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1256 | 756 | 95% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1090 | 1041 | 57% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1100 | 44% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 1219 | 55% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.7 vs 1052.4 has a 55.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).