Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (33 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 1318 | 1263 | 58% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 982 | 58% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 876 | 88% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 1208 | 52% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1129 | 51% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1220 | 988 | 79% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 940 | 874 | 59% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1068 | 67% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1128 | 1009 | 66% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 940 | 47% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 933 | 980 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1029 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1208 | 1030 | 74% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1220 | 1056 | 72% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1220 | 1140 | 61% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 920 | 1063 | 31% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1169 | 56% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1052 | 54% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 974 | 55% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1094.8 vs 1038.6 has a 58.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).