Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (31 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 903 | 909 | 49% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 995 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1032 | 51% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 878 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 1143 | 60% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1279 | 988 | 84% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 941 | 873 | 60% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1019 | 73% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1112 | 930 | 74% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 941 | 47% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 980 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 1027 | 66% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1279 | 1038 | 80% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1279 | 1136 | 69% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 929 | 1138 | 23% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1072 | 51% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1020 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1095.6 vs 1025.6 has a 59.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).