Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 995 | 56% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 945 | 909 | 55% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 987 | 1157 | 27% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1273 | 995 | 83% | 2024-04-29 | | Won |
| 901 | 1185 | 16% | 2022-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1273 | 728 | 96% | 2022-02-14 | | Won |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1205 | 31% | 2021-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1035.2 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).