Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 903 | 909 | 49% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1090 | 36% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1010 | 83% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 895 | 1150 | 19% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1178 | 985 | 75% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1281 | 756 | 95% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1143 | 39% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1021.2 has a 55.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).