Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 979 | 48% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 985 | 68% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1192 | 43% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 999 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
| 999 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
| 996 | 879 | 66% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 879 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-02-15 | Lost |
| 1041 | 913 | 68% | 2022-01-30 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 979 | 36% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
| 902 | 1174 | 17% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1016.6 vs 1017.4 has a 49.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).